White Marlin
That won’t be the case with his chief rival, and current race favourite, White Marlin who stayed 2800m powerfully on the first Tuesday of November 2022 and would surely have no issues going another 400m a year on if he can win his way there.
White Marlin raced to the top of betting for the 2023 Melbourne Cup when he returned with a dominant win in the Easter Cup at Sandown. He thrashed an in-form Right You Are before that one played spoiler to Hezashocka at Mornington.
Right You Are has three times beaten Vow And Declare, the other here with a master rating ahead of White Marlin, this preparation. The formline clearly illustrates White Marlin’s chance in the Ramsden.
Defeat at Pakenham in the lead-up was a bit of a stumble but the pace there was false and being outsprinted over 2000m doesn’t look hugely relevant to his chances up to a trip he clearly relishes and in a race that should prove a genuine test of stamina.
Vow and Declare
The 2019 Melbourne Cup winner has had a fabulous season and deserves mention here. His spring campaign steadily built to good runs in the Cups, Caulfield and Melbourne, and he got some hugely deserved reward for effort when winning the Zipping Classic.
He was not quite back at his 119-rated best from 2019 but ratings of 115 in spring have been backed up this campaign at Flemington and in the Tancred at Rosehill where he was beaten just over a length in fourth.
Lunar Flare
Fellow seven-year-old Lunar Flare is another Cup winner, hers the Moonee Valley version, and she too continues to race in great heart, as good as ever when running second in defence of her Cup at the Valley on Cox Plate Day after winning the Bart Cummings.
She missed the Melbourne Cup but has shown that she retains all of her ability with three good runs, strong in the finish as always, in the lead up to this target race.
Her continued good form says that she would be well worth what would be a long overdue place in the Melbourne Cup in 2023 were she to win a ticket in this vintage edition of the Andrew Ramsden.